Statistical Analysis of the Factors Affecting the Problem of Urban Sprawl on Agricultural Lands (Case Study: Assuit Governorate Villages).

Document Type : Research Studies

Author

Demonstrator, Dep. of Architectural Engineering Faculty of Engineering Assuit University

Abstract

 Urban sprawl on agricultural lands considers one of the permanent problems, which face all the governments that govern Egypt last decades, especially with the fact that all urban areas distributed on 6% of all Egyptian territories accompanied with accelerated population growth. Therefore, this research aims to study the relationship between the most important demographic and spatial characteristics (population-populated area- population density-proximity) which effect on the problem of urban sprawl on agricultural lands by the statistical methods, and it aims to categorize all the urban sprawl on these villages.
Urban sprawled areas for more than 100 village in Assuit province were measured based on the satellite images of all Egyptian villages which taken in 1986 and 2006. Statistical Assumptions were tested before using the correlation analysis (Spearman rho test) for the dataset. Results show that urban sprawled areas on agricultural lands of the dataset (101 villages in Assuit province) were 114 fadans per year during the period 1986-2006, and the results showed that there was a relationship between the study variables and urban sprawl on agricultural lands. Moreover, it showed that there was more than one category of urban sprawl in these villages. The conclusion made was that decision makers must put these categories in consideration so they can deal with each category by suitable package of laws and developing projects to solve this problem.  

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MEJ- Mansoura Engineering Journal
Volume 39, Issue 3
September 2014
Pages 36-61

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